Real Estate Bubble Still Lingers

The Orlando market has not seen the bottom of the real estate bubble just yet. The market has a 50.6% chance of price declines over the next two years, according to Inman News (here's the story: http://www.inman.com/hstory.aspx?ID=64836 ). The risk score for the county remains at an all-time high of 329, which translates into a 32.9% chance of an annual price decline. However, Orlando's scores are 506, which represent a 50.6% chance of price decline over the next two years. Florida has 3 cities in the over-505 mark: West Palm Beach-Boca Raton-Boynton Beach (53.2%), Ft. Lauderdale – Pompano Beach-Deerfield (50.7%) and the Orlando area (50.6%). Riverside – San Bernardino – Ontario in California is at the top of the list with 60.8%. However, California's appreciation was the fastest and the highest. The moral of the story for sellers: get the prices below your competitor now so you do not chase the prices down and have to sell at the low end. Be the "price-drop leader" and you will get more money on your bottom line now.

  • Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif. (608)
  • Las Vegas-Paradise, Nev. (587)
  • Santa Ana-Anaheim-Irvine, Calif. (579)
  • Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz. (575)
  • Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, Calif. (536)
  • West Palm Beach-Boca Raton-Boynton Beach, Fla. (532)
  • Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Roseville, Calif. (522)
  • San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, Calif. (521)
  • Oakland-Fremont-Hayward, Calif. (516)
  • Ft. Lauderdale-Pompano Beach-Deerfield Beach, Fla. (507)
  • Orlando-Kissimmee, Fla. (506)

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