Weekly Market Update 10-26-07

The Real Estate Market Synopsis

Why Foreclosure Should Be Avoided Through a Short Sale

Gitta Urbainczyk, P.A., E-Pro, RECS, CLHMS, Broker Associate

Survey suggests lenders are not working to prevent foreclosures

We do prevent foreclosure at www.florida-foreclosurepreventions.com

 

What we are facing in today's real estate market is unprecedented. It is beyond the control of anyone being affected. It is affected by external factors, such as increasing property taxes, insurance and the adjustable rate mortgages. Many say it appears similar to what we experienced during and after the depression. Well, first of all, I was not alive during and after the Great Depression, much less working in real estate. Therefore, I can't comments on those experiences. But what I can say is this. What we are facing right now and in the future is more than anyone could have imagined. The implications are going to be felt worldwide and it will impact our economy. The people are going to get squeezed in a way they would have never imagined. Getting the right information right now and in the future is so important because making the right decisions today will have a far reaching impact on your ability to buy a home again in the future. For instance, if you had known with certainty that option arm mortgages are nothing more than very dangerous teaser rates and as dangerous as playing with fire in Southern California, I am sure you would not have gambled, signing on like the rest of the victims.

Here are the three things you must remember in foreclosures:

  • Speak to your lender
  • Speak to your lender
  • Speak to your lender

Try to renegotiate your interest rates. Ask them not to raise your adjustable rate, Ask for a payment holiday if possible. You must try to resolve the problem with them first. I know they are tough to deal with. I know they don't call you back. I know the phones are swamped. Do it.

Also, see if you qualify for an FHA workout program. Call Marc Urbainczyk with Sonoma Mortgage at 321-228-3104 (or email urbainczyk@gmail.com) to see if this may work for you. If everything else fails, work with us on a short sale by calling 407-330-2181. Or, sign up at www.florida-foreclosuresolutions.com

Had you been told with certainty that adjustable rate mortgages also adhere to the law of physics (what goes up must come down), you would have had second thoughts about signing on the dotted line. Regardless, we are facing an equally dangerous trend which is foreclosure of homes and we must figure out how best to handle them right now. Thousands of people are turning the key over to the mortgage companies, walking away from their mortgage obligations and letting the banks foreclose on their homes. This, however, is not the best way to handle this situation. The foreclosure will remain on your credit record for many years to come and it will be very difficult for you to ever get a home loan with a reasonable rate as a result of your improper handling of this situation. It is very easy to just turn your back and say, "let's forget about it".

I say you can soften the blow considerably by taking the short sale route. Even if you didn't know about the option arm mortgage danger, you had better know about the foreclosure danger. Yes, it is very easy to just walk away, but walking away is not going to solve your credit and foreclosure problem. Your credit report is going to reflect that foreclosure for many years and you will have a hard time explaining this irresponsible move to future mortgage lenders. When faced with the choice of "walking away" from your obligation vs. short selling your home, the right choice is a short sale.

Short selling may take some effort on your part, but it will show future lenders that you cared enough to make a Herculean effort in selling your previous home during difficult times and you will not turn your back on them. And while you were not able to get full price, at least you did not dump the home into the lenders lap. Both lenders and credit reporters will look favorably at this effort and award you with better credit scores in the future.

 

Tax issues with short sales and foreclosures

Yes. There is an issue with the short sale potentially creating a tax liability. However, if you are insolvent, you need to check with your CPA. You may not owe any taxes at all. Also, here is this information from the Florida bankruptcy blog:

Proposed Law Eliminates Tax Penalty from Foreclosure

One of biggest problems for people facing foreclosure of investment property in today's real estate recession is tax liability for the difference between the mortgage balance and the value of the property at the foreclosure sale or at time of a deed in lieu or short sale. The Wall Street Journal reports that there is a bill in the House of Representatives to eliminate income tax liability for debt forgiveness for homeowners. The bill passed Ways and Means Committee, and according to the paper the bill has bi-partisan political support. The law, if passed, would remove a significant tax penalty for people facing the loss of real estate during the current market downturn. -September 27, 2007

 

So, in the final analysis, there are buyers willing and able to buy your home at a certain price and it is our job to find these buyers and negotiate a settlement with your lender. This process will take several months and you have to provide financial information, a hardship letter, bank statements and so forth. However, instead of a foreclosure being recorded on your credit report, you may only have a few late payments and a charge off or a deficiency judgment on your record. Should the deficiency judgment become a burden at later times, you may want to speak to a bankruptcy attorney how to deal with this. It is our experience that after a bankruptcy has been discharged and you have kept the credit clean, you may be able to buy a home again after two years. When you have a foreclosure on your credit, it will take many more years to look favorably. The way the credit market is heading, this may be a problem for even more years. For further information on bankruptcy, we recommend bankruptcy attorney Kevin Mangum at www.mangum-law.com .

There are also a variety of credit repair options available online or otherwise. We suggest going to www.trinityenterprisesllc.com . We cannot vouch for these services, but they are certainly worth spending some time exploring them. Foreclosure should be avoided. There are alternatives that just require a little action on your part to prevent your credit from being destroyed. Build on your future with a call to us.

Here are the numbers.

  • U.S. Toll Free

    1-800-779-6752

  • U.K. Toll Free

    0-800-051-8891

  • Business Line

    407-330-2181

General Market Indicators

The resale inventory of unsold homes slightly increased by about 100 homes since last week and it has been hovering at about the same inventory for the past month. Any increase in inventory is a bad sign. Increases of 100 to 200 homes from one week to the next may not seem like a lot, but over the month, we could accumulate 500-1,000 additional homes being placed on the market. That is bad.

Buyer demand is slow. They are indecisive. They offer low prices in anticipation of further price declines. Sellers do not like to receive low offers, but a low offer is better than no offer at all. We do the utmost to get the offer together. A total of 1,224 homes traded hands over the past 30 days. That's only 40 homes per day over a four-county area. There are 31,000 homes on the market. That's equal to 25 months (or just over 2 years) of unsold inventory on the market. If you think about the staggering amount of homes being offered for sale, the recent national sales numbers of being 8% behind the same period last year, all is of particularly great concern. We need a national infusion of good news and hopefully the FEDs are going to do this by again lowering the interest rates.

Our market is currently a 100% buyer market

  • Sales Demand Activities –moving to slower
  • Sales last year (September) to this year (September) - 53% lower
  • Resale Inventory decreased by 250 homes
  • Trend Indicator downwards
  • Cumulative Market Time Volusia County (125 days), Seminole County (114 days), Lake County (143 days)
  • Unsold Inventory Supply - Orange County (21.4 months), Seminole County (14.0 months), Lake County (26.0 months), Volusia County (20.1 months), Osceola County (38 months)
  • Areas that face the biggest challenge to sell homes are: Lake, Volusia & Osceola Counties.

 

Condo Sales

Update: 10/01/07

 

County 

For Sale 

Sold past 30 days 

Month of Inventory 

Seminole 

771

35

22

Orange 

3270

77

42

Osceola 

906

18

50

Volusia 

509

18

28

Lake 

151

3

50

 

New Condo Website, Click here

 

The area marked in red shows inventory availability of over 12 months.

 

Seminole County 

   

Update 10/01/07 

 

Price Range 

Active 

Sold 

Sold % 

Inventory on the Market

Sold Trend

100-199 

1129

58

5.1%

19.5

Dw

200-249 

853

62

7.3%

13.8

Up

250-299 

738

59

8.0%

12.5

Up

300-349 

378

21

6.0%

18.0

Dw

350-399 

290

14

5.0%

20.7

Dw

400-449 

188

4

2.0%

47.0

Dw

450-499 

190

8

4.0%

23.8

Dw

500-549 

104 

7 

7.0% 

14.9 

Dw 

550-599 

75 

2 

3.0% 

37.5 

Dw 

600-649 

61 

4 

7.0%

15.3 

Unch 

650-699 

56 

0 

0.0% 

#DIV/0!

Dw 

700-749 

33 

2 

6.0% 

16.5 

Dw 

750-799 

44

0

0.0%

#DIV/0!

Dw

800-850 

29

1

3.0%

29.0

Unch

851 up 

263

5

2.0%

52.6

 
 

4431 

247 

6.0% 

sales 

72% dw 

     

14% up 

     

14% unch 

 

 

The area marked in red shows inventory availability of over 12 months.

 

Orange County

   

Update 10/01/07 

 

Price Range 

Active 

Sold 

Sold %

Inventory On The Market

Sold Trend

100-199 

3456

139

4.0%

24.9

Dw

200-249 

2816

103

3.7%

27.3

Dw

250-299 

2324

70

3.0%

33.2

Dw

300-349 

1335

53

4.0%

25.2

Dw

350-399 

1198

34

3.0%

35.2

Dw

400-449

647

20

3.0%

32.4

Unch

450-499 

562

13

2.0%

43.2

Dw

500-549 

305

8

3.0%

38.1

Dw

550-599 

276

3

1.0%

92.0

Dw

600-649 

165

3

2.0%

55.0

Dw

650-699 

182 

2

1.0%

91.0

Dw

700-749 

69

4

6.0%

17.3

Up

750-799 

116

2

2.0%

58.0

Dw

800-850 

87

5

6.0%

17.4

Unch

851 -up

912

21

2.0%

43.4

 
 

14450 

480 

3.0% 

sales 

79% dw 

     

7% up 

     

14% unch 

 

The area marked in red shows inventory availability of over 12 months.

 

Volusia County 

   

Update 10/01/07 

 

Price Range 

Active 

Sold 

Sold %

Inventory On The Market

Sold Trend

100-199

1555

118

7.6%

13.2

Up

200-249 

695

19

2.7%

36.6

Dw

250-299 

507

18

3.6%

28.2

Dw

300-349 

264

6

2.0%

44.0

Up

350-399 

224

7

3.0%

32.0

Dw

400-449 

103

2

2.0%

51.5

Dw

450-499 

86 

3 

3.0% 

28.7 

Up 

500-549 

52 

0 

0.0% 

#DIV/0! 

Unch 

550-599 

53 

0 

0.0% 

#DIV/0! 

Dw 

600-649 

27 

0 

0.0% 

#DIV/0! 

Dw 

650-699 

32 

0 

0.0% 

#DIV/0! 

Dw 

700-749 

20 

0 

0.0% 

#DIV/0! 

unch 

750-799 

34 

1 

3.0% 

34.0 

Up 

800-850 

17 

0 

0.0% 

#DIV/0!